Bioscore
PBL has developed the BioScore 3 model to assess the impacts of policy measures on biodiversity in Europe in co-development with Radboud University. BioScore uses relationships between the occurrence of species and environmental conditions to predict the effect of policy measures on the distribution of species and vegetation types across Europe. BioScore assesses the suitability of environmental conditions for the occurrence of species and vegetation types, but does not assess whether species are actually present.
Bioscore 3
BioScore 3 supports the analysis of climate change impacts on the distribution of terrestrial and wetland plant species and vegetation types across Europe. Moreover, it is used to assess climate change impacts on species and vegetation types currently occurring in the Netherlands and assess which species and vegetation types may arrive if the climate in the Netherlands becomes suitable. BioScore 3 uses the relationships between the occurrence of species and environmental conditions to predict distribution of plant species, hereby accounting for the environmental suitability and for the accessibility of environmentally suitable sites. The predicted species distributions are aggregated across all species to assess the potential impact on species richness and the distribution of vegetation types.
BioScore 3 originates from Bioscore 2 which was co-developed by PBL. BioScore 2 assesses the impact of a wider range of environmental pressures on the distribution of mammals, vascular plants, breeding birds and butterflies. After a review of BioScore 2 PBL has focused BioScore 3 on the impacts of climate change.
Model application (in Dutch)
Van Hinsberg et al. (2020), Refererentiescenario’s Natuur. Tussenrapportage Natuurverkenning 2050.
Van Hinsberg et al. (2024), Verkenning van de lange termijn externe invloeden op landbouw en natuur in Nederland.
Specifications
- Model title
- Bioscore
- Version
- 3.0
- Documentation
- To the documentation of Bioscore
- Model code
- Download model code (ZIP-file)