Defining uncertainty. A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support

Publication

The aim of this paper is to provide a conceptual basis for the systematic treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support activities such as policy analysis, integrated assessment and risk assessment. It focuses on the uncertainty perceived from the point of view of those providing information to support policy decisions (i.e., the modellers’ view on uncertainty) – uncertainty regarding the analytical outcomes and conclusions of the decision support exercise.

Authors

Walker WE , Harremoes P , Rotmans J , Sluijs JP van der , Asselt MBA van , Janssen P , Krayer von Krauss MP

Specifications

Publication title
Defining uncertainty. A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support
Publication date
4 December 2003
Publication type
Publication
Magazine
Integr Assessment 2003; 4:5-17
Product number
91143