A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges

Quantitative goal-seeking scenario studies could help to explore the needed systems' transformations to implement the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by identifying enabling conditions and accounting for the synergies and trade-offs between the SDGs. Given that the SDGs were adopted some time ago, here, we review the existing global scenario literature to determine what it can offer in this context. 

We found only a few scenarios that address a large set of SDGs, while many more deal with specific clusters of 2–6 SDGs. We identified the most frequent clusters and compared the results of the most comprehensive sustainable development scenarios. The latter is complicated because of the diversity of methods, indicators, and assumptions used. Therefore, we suggest that an effort is needed to develop a wider set of scenarios that would achieve multiple SDGs, using a more standardized framework of targets and indicators.

Authors

PBL Authors
Detlef van Vuuren Vassilis Daioglou Andries Hof
Other authors
K. Orbons
G. Ambrosio
S. Kulkarni
E. Weber
V. Zapata
C. Zimm

Specifications

Publication title
A review of existing model-based scenarios achieving SDGs: progress and challenges
Publication date
8 February 2024
Publication type
Article
Publication language
English
Magazine
Global Sustainability
Issue
Volume 7, 2024, e3
Product number
5828