Are we sure? Some thoughts about uncertainty treatment in integrated assessment
‘Are we sure?’ ‘Are we right?’ ‘Do we feel confident?’ These questions summarise the feeling of uncertainty that is always nagging at our conscience whenever a policy decision is going to be based on scientific models. A feeling that is not going away when mathematical whizzkids show you the statistical uncertainty margins of model results, because the feeling is only partly about the figures. The feeling is more about the things we didn’t look at, either because of time constraints, lack of data or lack of knowledge. Or the things we simply took for granted because most scientists think they are true.
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Specifications
- Publication title
- Are we sure? Some thoughts about uncertainty treatment in integrated assessment
- Publication date
- 28 October 2003
- Publication type
- Publication
- Magazine
- In: Annual report 2002: science for policy. ASTA international and national abatement strategies for transboundary air pollution. Goteborg: Swedish Environmental Research Institute, 2003;8-11
- Product number
- 91093