Comparing net-zero pathways across the Atlantic: A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modelling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modelling Forum

Europe and North America account for 32% of current carbon emissions. Due to distinct legacy systems, energy infrastructure, socioeconomic development, and energy resource endowment, both regions have different policy and technological pathways to reach net zero by the mid-century. Against this background, our paper examines the results from the net-zero emission scenarios for Europe and North America that emerged from the collaboration of the European and American Energy Modelling Forums.

In our analysis, we perform an inter-comparison of various integrated assessments and bottom-up energy system models. A clear qualitative consensus emerges on four main points. First, Europe and the United States reach net zero targets with electrification, demand-side reductions, and carbon capture and sequestration technologies. Second, the use of carbon capture and sequestration is more predominant in the United States due to a steeper decarbonisation schedule. Third, the buildings sector is the easiest to electrify in both regions. Finally, the industrial sector is the hardest to electrify in the United States and the transportation sector is the hardest to electrify in Europe.

Authors

PBL Authors
Vassilis Daioglou Mark Dekker Detlef van Vuuren
Other authors
Luis Sarmiento
Johannes Emmerling
Robert Pietzcker
Francesco Dalla Longa
Laurent Drouet
Amir Fattahi
Panagiotis Fragkos
Hauke T. J. Henk
Oliver Fricko
Leonard Göke
Volker Krey
Ellie Lochner
Gunnar Luderer
Nick Macaluso
Kowan T. V. O'Keefe
Kathleen M. Kennedy
Gokul Iyer
Renato Rodrigues
Eric Stewart
William Usher
Bob van der Zwaan
Eleftheria Zisarou
Behnam Zakeri

Specifications

Publication title
Comparing net zero pathways across the Atlantic A model inter-comparison exercise between the Energy Modeling Forum 37 and the European Climate and Energy Modeling Forum
Publication date
17 July 2024
Publication type
Article
Publication language
English
Magazine
Energy and Climate Change
Issue
Volume 5, December 2024, 100144
Product number
5643