Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries

Climate stabilization requires the mobilization of substantial investments in low- and zero-carbon technologies, especially in emerging and developing economies. However, access to stable and affordable finance varies dramatically across countries. Models used to evaluate the energy transition do not differentiate regional financing costs and therefore cannot study risk-sharing mechanisms for renewable electricity generation. In this study, we incorporated the empirically estimated cost of capital differentiated by country and technology into an ensemble of five climate–energy–economy models. We quantified the additional financing cost of decarbonization borne by developing regions and explored policies of risk premium convergence across countries.

We found that alleviating financial constraints benefits both climate and equity as a result of more renewable and affordable energy in the developing world. This highlights the importance of fair finance for energy availability, affordability and sustainability, as well as the need to include financial considerations in model-based assessments.

Authors

PBL Authors
Harmen Sytze de Boer Detlef van Vuuren
Other authors
M. Calcaterra
L. Aleluia Reis
P. Fragkos
T. Briera
F. Egli
J. Emmerling
G. Iyer
S. Mittal
F. H. J. Polzin
M. W. J. L. Sanders
T. S. Schmidt
A. Serebriakova
B. Steffen
D. J. van de Ven
P. Waidelich
M. Tavoni

Specifications

Publication title
Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries
Publication date
27 September 2024
Publication type
Article
Publication language
English
Magazine
Nature Energy
Issue
9, 1241–1251 (2024)
Product number
5640