Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment
Climate researchers use carbon dioxide emission scenarios to explore alternative climate futures and potential impacts, as well as implications of mitigation and adaptation policies. Often, these…
The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions
The importance of the discount rate in cost-benefit analysis of long term problems, such as climate change, has been widely acknowledged. However, the choice of the discount rate is hardly discussed…
From visions to scenarios for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century: workshop report
PBL co-organised a workshop to build on the Nature Futures Framework, developed by the IPBES scenarios and models expert group, which serves to discuss future visions based on how people value nature…
The implications of re-exports for gravity equation estimation, NAFTA and Brexit
This paper illustrates the importance of taking into account re-exports. It shows that not taking into account re-exports causes estimates from the gravity model (the standard economic trade model) to…
EDGAR v4.3.2 Global Atlas of the three major greenhouse gas emissions for the period 1970–2012
The Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR) compiles anthropogenic emissions data for greenhouse gases (GHGs), and for multiple air pollutants, based on international statistics and…
This policy brief presents insights that can be derived from the gap indicators in the ‘global stocktake’ dynamic web tool. We know that there is a global emissions gap, as current policies on the…
Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
This study presents a new comprehensive set of long-term Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves of all major non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emission sources. The work builds on existing short-term MAC curve…
GHG mitigation policies in major emitting countries: an overview of recently adopted policies
This document presents an overview of climate and energy policies mostly adopted between July 2018 and May 2019 in 25 countries and regions. The policy information compiled by NewClimate Institute…
Decarbonisation options for the Dutch aluminium industry
This report on decarbonisation options for the aluminium industry is part of the MIDDEN project (Manufacturing Industry Decarbonisation Data Exchange Network) initiated by PBL and ECN part of TNO. The…
Understanding transition pathways by bridging modelling, transition and practice-based studies
This paper presents an introduction to and overview of the papers in this Special Issue of Technological Forecasting & Social Change on ‘Transition Pathways’ is presented. Each of these papers are an…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
