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Aquaculture production is a large, spatially concentrated source of nutrients in Chinese freshwater and coastal seas

This article presents a spatially explicit inventory of nutrient emissions from aquaculture to waterbodies for 2006 and 2017. Aquaculture production and nutrient excretion are now comparable to that…
Article

Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world

The Paris Agreement introduced an ambitious goal of limiting warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. Here we combine a review of modelled pathways and literature on mitigation strategies, and…
Article

Modeling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model

We present an extension of the dynamic global vegetation model, Lund–Potsdam–Jena Managed Land (LPJmL), to simulate planted forests intended for carbon (C) sequestration. We implemented three…

Modelling global material stocks and flows for residential and service sector buildings towards 2050

Residential buildings and service sector buildings have an important contribution to climate change, directly via energy use in these buildings and indirectly through construction activities and the…

Reconciling global sustainability targets and local action for food production and climate change mitigation

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) imply country-led implementation. Yet, their achievement depends on sustainability targets compatible across different sectors and scales. Our study examines…

Biomass residues as twenty-first century bioenergy feedstock—a comparison of eight integrated assessment models

In the twenty-first century, modern bioenergy could become one of the largest sources of energy, partially replacing fossil fuels and contributing to climate change mitigation. Agricultural and…

Archaeological assessment reveals Earth’s early transformation through land use

Environmentally transformative human use of land accelerated with the emergence of agriculture, but the extent, trajectory, and implications of these early changes are not well understood. An…
Article

Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment

Climate researchers use carbon dioxide emission scenarios to explore alternative climate futures and potential impacts, as well as implications of mitigation and adaptation policies. Often, these…

The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions

The importance of the discount rate in cost-benefit analysis of long term problems, such as climate change, has been widely acknowledged. However, the choice of the discount rate is hardly discussed…

The implications of re-exports for gravity equation estimation, NAFTA and Brexit

This paper illustrates the importance of taking into account re-exports. It shows that not taking into account re-exports causes estimates from the gravity model (the standard economic trade model) to…