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Greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for 2030

A greenhouse gas reduction target of 40% below 1990 levels for 2030 for the European Union, to be achieved within Europe, would not necessarily be sufficient for achieving the target of limiting…

Assessment of the Human Environment 2012

On 24 September 2012, the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency presented its second biannual ‘Assessment of the Human Environment’ to outgoing Minister of Infrastructure and the Environment…
Report

Analysing the emission gap between pledged emission reductions under the Cancún Agreements and the 2 °C climate target

Since the climate negotiations in Copenhagen (2009), many countries have pledged to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. These pledges were 'anchored' in the 2010 Cancún Agreements. Since…

The IMAGE Model Suite used for the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050

In the Environmental Outlook to 2050 from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) a number of scenarios and projection are used which are calculated with the IMAGE model…

A land-use systems approach to represent land-use dynamics at continental and global scales

Most of the current global land cover datasets and global scale land-use models use a classification of land cover based on the dominant land cover type within a distinct region or pixel. Such a…

Scientific Opinion on the science behind the guidance for scenario selection and scenario parameterisation for predicting environmental concentrations of plant protection products in soil

The EFSA Panel on Plant Protection Products and its Residues (PPR Panel) developed a revised methodology for the assessment of exposure of soil organisms to pesticides. In contrast to previous…

Model projections for household energy use in India

Energy use in developing countries is heterogeneous across households. Present day global energy models are mostly too aggregate to account for this heterogeneity. Here, a bottom-up model for…

Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post-2012 international climate financing proposals

This study assesses four proposals to generate funds for international climate financing in developing countries according to three criteria: adequacy, predictability and equitability. The focus year…
Article

Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century

There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…

A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter?

Integrated assessment models have been widely used to inform policymakers about attractive climate response strategies. An important application of integrated assessment models is cost-benefit…