The role of peatland degradation, protection, and restoration for climate change mitigation in the SSP scenarios
Peatland only covers a small fraction of the global land surface (∼3%) but store large amounts of carbon (∼600 GtC). Drainage of peatlands for agriculture results in the decomposition of organic…
Effects of Nitrogen Emissions on Fish Species' Richness across the World’s Freshwater Ecoregions
The increasing application of synthetic fertiliser has tripled nitrogen (N) inputs over the twentieth century. N enrichment decreases water quality and threatens aquatic species such as fish through…
The impact of policy and model uncertainties on emissions projections of the Paris Agreement pledges
Tracking progress towards the Paris Agreement climate goal requires understanding the 2030 emission levels implied by countries' National Determined Contributions (NDCs). However, key uncertainties…
Global Maps of Agricultural Expansion Potential at a 300 m Resolution
The global expansion of agricultural land is a leading driver of climate change and biodiversity loss. However, the spatial resolution of current global land change models is relatively coarse, which…
Achieving net-zero emissions targets: an analysis of long-term scenarios using an integrated assessment model
More than 100 countries have communicated or adopted new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and net-zero target pledges. This paper investigates the impact on global, national, sectoral, and…
As a crucial part of its quality policy, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency organises an external audit every five to seven years. This audit focuses on the scientific quality, social and…
Hindcasting harmful algal bloom risk due to land-based nutrient pollution in the Eastern Chinese coastal seas
Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have been increasing in frequency, areal extent and duration due to the large increase in nutrient inputs from land-based sources to coastal seas, and cause significant…
Cost-effective mitigation of nitrogen pollution from global croplands
Based on a meta-analysis of 1,521 worldwide field observations, 11 key measures were identified that reduce global nitrogen losses from croplands to air and water by 30–70%, while increasing crop…
An integrated global model of local urban development and population change
This paper presents a new modelling approach that disaggregates scenario-based national-level urban population estimates derived from the often-applied Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) to high…
Comparing three spatial modeling tools for assessing urban ecosystem services
Spatially explicit modeling is a key method to quantify ecosystem services in cities. We applied and compared three commonly used open-source ecosystem service modeling tools (InVEST, LUCI, Natural…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
