Emissions and targets of greenhouse gases not included in the Emission Trading System 2013-2020
This report evaluates the European Commission’s (EC) proposal to calculate Member States’ targets for emissions not included in the Emission Trading System (ETS). It is concluded that, for the…
Modelling the impact of sea-salt particles on the exceedances of daily PM10 air quality standards in the Netherlands
Particles generated at the sea surface contribute to PM 10 levels in coastal areas. Current estimates suggest annual average contributions of up to 10 µg/m³ along the North Sea coast in the…
Do new and uncertain risks threaten human health? Because science is unable to sufficiently answer this question, risk and safety policies confront limits, exemplified by climate change and adaptation…
Anthropogenic and natural constituents in particulate matter in the Netherlands
To develop mitigation strategies for reducing concentrations of both PM 2.5 and PM 10 , the origin of particulate matter (PM) needs to be established. An intensive, one-year measurement campaign from…
The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources
This paper assesses the implications of climate policy for exposure to water resources stresses. It compares a Reference scenario which leads to an increase in global mean temperature of 4 °C by the…
Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment
This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. The experiment employs ten…
The Copenhagen Accord: abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions
As part of the Copenhagen Accord, individual countries have submitted greenhouse gas reduction proposals for the year 2020. This paper analyses the implications for emission reductions, the carbon…
Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change
Humans have altered the Earth’s land surface since the Paleolithic mainly by clearing woody vegetation first to improve hunting and gathering opportunities, and later to provide agricultural cropland…
The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with no mitigation…
Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century
There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
