In 2015, after three years of slow growth, the growth of global CO 2 emissions from fossil-fuel use and from steel and cement production was brought to a standstill. One of the main causes was the 2%…
Potential effects of circular economy policies in the EU and the Netherlands on developing countries
The circular economy can provide economic opportunities, contribute to a clean environment and make countries less dependent on domestic and imported scarce natural resources. A successful transition…
A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality
We present a model comparison study that combines multiple integrated assessment models with a reduced-form global air quality model to assess the potential co-benefits of global climate mitigation…
Building Bridges from the Present to Desired Futures - Evaluating Approaches for Visioning and Backcasting
Backcasting explores how to reach ambitious societal goals--- identifying strategic choices and windows of opportunity. After early applications in the 1980s, this approach to scenario analysis is now…
The picture of Africa’s increasing dependence on imports and large-scale agricultural expansion to keep up its food supply needs nuancing. Domestic production increase was the dominant factor for food…
The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 3: the Last Millennium, Scientific Objective and Experimental Design for the PMIP4 past1000 simulations
The pre-industrial millennium is among the periods selected by the Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project (PMIP) for experiments contributing to the sixth phase of the Coupled Model…
The PBL study Subsiding soils, rising costs provides a clear-cut overview of the impact of peatland subsidence and possible measures for both rural and urban areas. A directed policy adopted now may…
Valuation of CO2 emissions in CBA: implications of the scenario study Welfare, Prosperity and the Human Environment
The scenario study Welfare, Prosperity and the Human Environment (WLO) forecasts long-term developments on four topics, climate being one of them. The study’s climate scenarios have been constructed…
Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
We present a modelling framework to simulate probabilistic futures of global cropland areas that are conditional on the SSP (shared socio-economic pathway) scenarios. Simulations are based on the…
Carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere (CDR)—also known as 'negative emissions'—features prominently in most 2 °C scenarios and has been under increased scrutiny by scientists, citizens, and…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
