Publications

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The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions

The importance of the discount rate in cost-benefit analysis of long term problems, such as climate change, has been widely acknowledged. However, the choice of the discount rate is hardly discussed…

From visions to scenarios for nature and nature’s contributions to people for the 21st century: workshop report

PBL co-organised a workshop to build on the Nature Futures Framework, developed by the IPBES scenarios and models expert group, which serves to discuss future visions based on how people value nature…

Mid-century emission pathways in Japan associated with the global 2 °C goal: national and global models’ assessments based on carbon budgets

This study assesses Japan’s mid-century low-emission pathways using both national and global integrated assessment models in the common mitigation scenario framework, based on the carbon budgets…

The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity

Rapidly increasing populations coupled with increased food demand requires either an expansion of agricultural land or sufficient production gains from current resources. However, in a changing world…
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The implications of re-exports for gravity equation estimation, NAFTA and Brexit

This paper illustrates the importance of taking into account re-exports. It shows that not taking into account re-exports causes estimates from the gravity model (the standard economic trade model) to…

EDGAR v4.3.2 Global Atlas of the three major greenhouse gas emissions for the period 1970–2012

The Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR) compiles anthropogenic emissions data for greenhouse gases (GHGs), and for multiple air pollutants, based on international statistics and…

Opportunities for the Action Agenda for Nature and People

The ‘Action Agenda for Nature and People’ of the UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) has potential to become a powerful vehicle for increasing the ambition level of global biodiversity policy…

Beyond the emission gap

This policy brief presents insights that can be derived from the gap indicators in the ‘global stocktake’ dynamic web tool. We know that there is a global emissions gap, as current policies on the…

Taking some heat off the NDCs? The limited potential of additional short-lived climate forcers’ mitigation

Several studies have shown that the greenhouse gas reduction resulting from the current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) will not be enough to meet the overall targets of the Paris Climate…

Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases

This study presents a new comprehensive set of long-term Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves of all major non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emission sources. The work builds on existing short-term MAC curve…