Short-to medium-run forecasting of mobility with dynamic linear models
This paper shows how short- to medium-term forecasts of mobility can be used to inform long-term projections based on annual data. This will be a challenging task for statistical offices generating…
Regional energy diversity and sovereignty in different 2 °C and 1.5 °C pathways
Achieving the objectives of the Paris Climate Agreement requires a fast transition of the energy system. This leads to consequences for energy security, which a central element of the energy strategy…
Transitioning to Low-Carbon Economies under the 2030 Agenda: Minimizing Trade-Offs and Enhancing Co-Benefits of Climate-Change Action for the SDGs
The 2030 Agenda with its Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement on climate change were adopted in 2015. Although independently defined, the two agreements are strongly…
Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement
The current wave of national net zero targets could reduce the projected global average temperature increase to 2.0–2.4°C by 2100. Net zero targets, if fully implemented, could bring the Paris…
Do we need a new science-policy interface for food systems?
Food systems require urgent transformations to meet goals around food security, livelihoods, and environmental sustainability. These transformations require knowledge on the multiple dimensions of…
Adaptive risk management strategies for governments under future climate and socioeconomic change: An application to riverine flood risk at the global level
Climate-related disaster risks pose a threat to sustainable development today and in the future. Major global agendas, such as the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction and the Sustainable…
Veel regio’s in Nederland kampen met een grote verstedelijkingsdruk, vooral door de grote woningbouwopgave. Dat er snel veel woningen nodig zijn is helder. De opgave is echter breder. Een goed…
Quantification of global and national nitrogen budgets for crop production
Input–output estimates of nitrogen on cropland are essential for improving nitrogen management and better understanding the global nitrogen cycle. Here, we compare 13 nitrogen budget datasets covering…
De werking van de grondmarkt en de rol van de overheid
Op verzoek van de Tweede Kamer verkent het ministerie van BZK de wenselijkheid en de haalbaarheid van een Rijksgrondbedrijf om daarmee een aantal urgente ruimtelijke opgaven (mede) aan te pakken…
More efficient phosphorus use can avoid cropland expansion
Global projections indicate that approximately 500 Mha of new arable land will be required to meet crop demand by 2050. Applying a dynamic phosphorus (P) pool simulator under different socioeconomic…
Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving
