The Paris Agreement introduced an ambitious goal of limiting warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. Here we combine a review of modelled pathways and literature on mitigation strategies, and…
Modeling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model
We present an extension of the dynamic global vegetation model, Lund–Potsdam–Jena Managed Land (LPJmL), to simulate planted forests intended for carbon (C) sequestration. We implemented three…
PBL/CBS Regionale bevolkings- en huishoudensprognose 2019–2050: Woningbouwveronderstellingen
In september 2019 is voor de zevende keer de PBL/CBS Regionale bevolkings- en huishoudensprognose uitgebracht. In dit artikel wordt ingegaan op de woningbouwveronderstellingen van deze prognose (de…
Modelling global material stocks and flows for residential and service sector buildings towards 2050
Residential buildings and service sector buildings have an important contribution to climate change, directly via energy use in these buildings and indirectly through construction activities and the…
Reconciling global sustainability targets and local action for food production and climate change mitigation
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) imply country-led implementation. Yet, their achievement depends on sustainability targets compatible across different sectors and scales. Our study examines…
Biomass residues as twenty-first century bioenergy feedstock—a comparison of eight integrated assessment models
In the twenty-first century, modern bioenergy could become one of the largest sources of energy, partially replacing fossil fuels and contributing to climate change mitigation. Agricultural and…
Archaeological assessment reveals Earth’s early transformation through land use
Environmentally transformative human use of land accelerated with the emergence of agriculture, but the extent, trajectory, and implications of these early changes are not well understood. An…
Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment
Climate researchers use carbon dioxide emission scenarios to explore alternative climate futures and potential impacts, as well as implications of mitigation and adaptation policies. Often, these…
The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions
The importance of the discount rate in cost-benefit analysis of long term problems, such as climate change, has been widely acknowledged. However, the choice of the discount rate is hardly discussed…
The implications of re-exports for gravity equation estimation, NAFTA and Brexit
This paper illustrates the importance of taking into account re-exports. It shows that not taking into account re-exports causes estimates from the gravity model (the standard economic trade model) to…
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