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New EU-scale environmental scenarios until 2050 – Scenario process and initial scenario applications

As part of the Openness project, new EU scenarios focusing on natural capital and ecosystem services were developed. These were applied at different regional socio-environmental conditions…

Exploring future changes in land use and land condition and the impacts on food, water, climate change and biodiversity: Scenarios for the UNCCD Global Land Outlook

The pressure on land is growing in many regions of the world, due to the increasing demand for arable crops, meat and dairy products, bio-energy and timber, and is exacerbated by land degradation and…

The role of decentralized systems in providing universal electricity access in Sub-Saharan Africa – A model-based approach

Poverty and lack of access to electricity are highly correlated. In Sub-Saharan Africa, one of the poorest regions in the world, two in every three people have no access to electricity. This paper…

Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systems

The IMAGE integrated assessment model was used to develop a set of scenarios to evaluate the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) submitted by Parties under the Paris Agreement. The scenarios…

Impact of LULCC on the emission of BVOCs during the 21st century

Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) is one of the key drivers of anthropogenic climate change. In addition to greenhouse gases such as CO 2 or CH 4 , LULCC affects also the emission of other carbon…

Modeling the Effects of Future Growing Demand for Charcoal in the Tropics

Global demand for charcoal is increasing mainly due to urban population in developing countries. More than half the global population now lives in cities, and urban-dwellers are restricted to charcoal…

Abandonment of natural gas production and investment in carbon storage

Long-term mitigation scenarios rely heavily on Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) for achieving ambitious climate change targets. The amount of CO 2 storage in these scenarios depends on the CO 2 price…

Policy coherence in the water-land-energy-food-climate nexus

More synergies than conflicts exist between European policy objectives for water, land, energy, food and climate. There are numerous positively interacting policy objectives, providing opportunities…

Greenhouse gas emissions in the Netherlands, 1990-2015: National Inventory Report 2017

This report documents the Netherlands' submission of its annual greenhouse gas emission inventory for 2017, in accordance with the guidelines provided by the United Nations Framework Convention on…

Current challenges of implementing anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change in models contributing to climate change assessments

Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) represents one of the key drivers of global environmental change. However, the processes and drivers of anthropogenic land-use activity are still overly…