Publications

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Assessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework

We present a modelling framework to simulate probabilistic futures of global cropland areas that are conditional on the SSP (shared socio-economic pathway) scenarios. Simulations are based on the…

Research priorities for negative emissions

Carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere (CDR)—also known as 'negative emissions'—features prominently in most 2 °C scenarios and has been under increased scrutiny by scientists, citizens, and…

Fiscal Policy and CO2 Emissions of New Passenger Cars in the EU

Tax incentives have motivated motorists to opt for more fuel-efficient vehicles more often, in 15 of the studied EU Member States. CO 2 emissions from new passenger vehicles, per kilometre driven…
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Global Carbon Budget 2016

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere – the “global carbon budget” – is important to…

Global and regional abatement costs of INDCs and of enhanced action to levels well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C

Under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to keep the increase in global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Current climate action plans would deliver half the…

National Energy Outlook 2016

Although the target of 16% renewable energy by 2023, as set in the Dutch Energy Agreement, is within sight, the National Energy Outlook (NEV) 2016 shows that the target of 14% renewable energy by 2020…

Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries

This new report by NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) provides an overview of projected…

UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2016

The world should increase its ambition to cut roughly a further quarter off predicted 2030 global greenhouse emissions and have any chance of minimizing dangerous climate change according to 2016…

An analytical framework for strategic delta planning: negotiating consent for long-term sustainable delta development

Sectoral planning on water, agriculture and urban development has not been able to prevent increased flood risks and environmental degradation in many deltas. Governments conceive strategic delta…
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Practising environmental policy evaluation under co-existing evaluation imaginaries

Co-existing evaluation imaginaries at PBL broaden the repertoire of evaluation approaches and potential for innovation. Practitioners also experience tensions as innovative ambitions conflict with…
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