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Conditional probabilistic estimates of 21st century greenhouse gas emissions based on the storylines of the IPCC-SRES scenarios

The conditional probabilistic scenario analysis combines statistical methods of uncertainty analysis at parameter level with storylines which recognize the deep uncertainty that exists for several…
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Assessment of bottom-up sectoral and regional mitigation potentials. Background report

In this study estimates are provided for greenhouse gas reduction potentials of different economic sectors in three world regions. The estimates are an update of the values reported in the Fouth…
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2006 Annual member States reporting on ambient air quality assessment - 'The Questionnaire'

Sixty percent of the EU27 population lives in zones were the daily PM 10 limit value is being exceeded. For nitrogen dioxide (annual limit value) and ozone (8-hour maximum health target value), the…
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Energy and Development - A Modelling Approach

Thesis by Bas van Ruijven.
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Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of GeoPEARL

In the environmental assessments by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), the GeoPEARL model is used to calculate the leaching of pesticides to the groundwater at the national scale…
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Modelling local environmental quality and its impact on health. Background document for an international scientific audit of PBL team LOK

This report describes the methods used by the Quality of the Local Environment Team (LOK) for evaluation of government policy concerning the quality of the local environment and the consequences…
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The VELD experiment: An evaluation of the ammonia emissions and concentrations in an agricultural area

From July 2002 until September 2003, a detailed ammonia emission inventory was carried out in concurrence with detailed measurements of the ammonia concentrations in air in a 3 × 3 km area in the East…
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Reductions of greenhouse gas emissions in Annex I and non-Annex I countries for meeting concentration stabilisation targets

Studies from IPCC and the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency show that industrialised countries can achieve stabilisation at 450 ppm, if their emissions are reduced by 25 to 40% below 1990…
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Modeling Energy and Development: An Evaluation of Models and Concepts

In this study, we found that the results of the IPCC/SRES global energy models for Asia are consistent with general “energy development” theories such as the environmental Kuznets curve and the energy…
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Dealing with uncertain technological risks

The risks posed to society from "emerging technologies" constitute a topic of intense academic and social debate. This report addresses the appraisal and regulation of these risks from a variety of…
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