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Global and regional abatement costs of INDCs and of enhanced action to levels well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C

Under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to keep the increase in global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Current climate action plans would deliver half the…

National Energy Outlook 2016

Although the target of 16% renewable energy by 2023, as set in the Dutch Energy Agreement, is within sight, the National Energy Outlook (NEV) 2016 shows that the target of 14% renewable energy by 2020…

Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries

This new report by NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) provides an overview of projected…

UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2016

The world should increase its ambition to cut roughly a further quarter off predicted 2030 global greenhouse emissions and have any chance of minimizing dangerous climate change according to 2016…

Climate Change Will Make Recovery from Eutrophication More Difficult in Shallow Danish Lake Søbygaard

Many lakes around the world suffer from nuisance algal blooms and biodiversity loss, caused by excess nutrient loading. Recent studies indicate that these problems are aggravated by the ongoing global…

The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP

Projections of future climate change play a fundamental role in improving understanding of the climate system as well as characterizing societal risks and response options. The Scenario Model…

Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions

Natural carbon sinks currently absorb approximately half of the anthropogenic CO 2 emitted by fossil fuel burning, cement production and land-use change. However, this airborne fraction may change in…

Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods

The potential impact of global temperature change on global crop yield has recently been assessed with different methods. Here we show that grid-based and point-based simulations and statistical…

The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change

Recently, a new set of scenarios has been developed called the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). They represent a set of five different stories (containing both qualitative and quantitative…

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the…