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Fuzzy modeling of cyanobacterial surface waterblooms: validation with NOAA-AVHRR satellite images

Surface waterblooms of toxic cyanobacteria (scums) interfere with the use of lakes, for instance in the production of drinking water or for recreation. Routine monitoring data are not sufficient for…

Defining uncertainty. A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support

The aim of this paper is to provide a conceptual basis for the systematic treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support activities such as policy analysis, integrated assessment and risk…
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Issues of replicability in Monte Carlo modeling: a case study with a pesticide leaching model

Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses based on Monte Carlo sampling were undertaken for various numbers of runs of the pesticide leaching model (PELMO). Analyses were repeated 10 times with different…
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Long-term measurements of gamma-HCH in precipitation in the Netherlands

The results of 20 years of measuring gamma-HCH in precipitation in the Netherlands are presented here. Analysis has revealed a systematic seasonal behaviour, with enhanced levels of gamma-HCH in…
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Survey of the occurrence of residues of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) in Dutch drinking water sources and drinking water

An indicative survey has been carried out in The Netherlands investigating the presence of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) in drinking water and the corresponding sources.
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FAIR 2.0 - A decision-support tool to assess the environmental and economic consequences of future climate regimes

This report describes policy decision-support-tool FAIR 2.0 (Framework to Asses International Regimes for differentiation of commitments), developed with the aim of assisting policy makers in…
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Regional costs and benefits of alternative post-Kyoto climate regimes: Comparison of variants of the Multi-stage and Per Capita Convergence regimes

This study explores technical, economic and environmental implications of different post-Kyoto climate regimes for differentiation of future commitments that would lead to a stabilisation of…

Exploring climate regimes for differentiation of commitments to achieve the EU climate target

This report explores the implications of various international climate regimes for differentiating post-Kyoto (after 2012) commitments compatible with the EU long-term climate objective to limit…
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The GeoPEARL model. Description, applications and manual

The GeoPEARL model presented here is a spatially distributed model describing the fate of pesticides in the soil-plant system. The model calculates the drainage of pesticides into local surface waters…
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Great transition: the promise and lure of the times ahead

More information on the Great Transition Project can be found at the website of Great Transition Initiative– Hopeful Global Scenarios of Earth’s Future, a global network elaborating visions and…
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