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The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways

This paper explores the implications of delays (to 2030) in implementing optimal policies for long-term transition pathways to limit climate forcing to 450 ppm CO 2 equivalent on the basis of the…

Implications of alternative assumptions regarding future air pollution control in scenarios similar to the Representative Concentration Pathways

The uncertain, future development of emissions of short-lived trace gases and aerosols forms a key factor for future air quality and climate forcing. The Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)…

Energy demand and emissions of the non-energy sector

The demand for fossil fuels for non-energy purposes such as production of bulk chemicals is poorly understood. In this study we analyse data on non-energy demand and disaggregate it across key…

Deltaprogramma: dit zijn de toekomstscenario’s voor 2050 en 2100

Voorafgaand aan het vierde Nationaal Deltacongres op 7 november 2013 publiceren het PBL, CPB (Centraal Planbureau), KNMI en Wageningen UR/LEI onder leiding van Deltares de ‘Deltascenario’s voor 2050…

Non-Kyoto radiative forcing in long-run greenhouse gas emissions and climate change scenarios

Climate policies must consider radiative forcing from Kyoto greenhouse gases, as well as other forcing constituents, such as aerosols and tropospheric ozone that result from air pollutants. Non-Kyoto…

Ontwikkelingsvarianten voor de Zuidwestelijke Delta (notitie)

Het PBL (Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving) brengt in de studie ‘Samenhang in de Zuidwestelijke Delta’ de samenhang tussen verschillende beleidskeuzes voor de Zuidwestelijke Delta in beeld. Het PBL…

Regional GHG reduction targets based on effort sharing: a comparison of studies

The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report noted that Annex I countries’ targets for 2020 would need to be 25% to 40% below the 1990 level to be in line with the 2° Celsius (C) target. What is the equivalent…

Countries’ contributions to climate change: effect of accounting for all greenhouse gases, recent trends, basic needs and technological progress

Discussions at UN climate negotiations tend to focus on which countries have contributed most to climate change. This contribution depends on the methods for calculating both historical and current…

The impact of technology availability on the timing and costs of emission reductions for achieving long-term climate targets

While most long-term mitigation scenario studies build on a broad portfolio of mitigation technologies, there is quite some uncertainty about the availability and reduction potential of these…

Indicatieve klimaatdoelen voor 2030 voor emissies die niet onder de Europese emissiehandel vallen

De Europese Commissie heeft met de lancering van een groenboek een discussie gestart over het toekomstige Europese klimaat- en energiebeleid voor 2030. Indien de EU zijn broeikasgasemissies met 40%…