Making the Paris agreement climate targets consistent with food security objectives
Climate change mitigation is crucial to limit detrimental impacts of climate change on food production. However, cost-optimal mitigation pathways consistent with the Paris agreement project large…
Op verzoek van het ministerie van Economische Zaken en Klimaat en het Klimaatberaad heeft het PBL het ontwerp Klimaatakkoord (OKA) doorgerekend. Centraal in deze analyse staan de verwachte effecten…
Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target
Agricultural methane and nitrous oxide emissions represent around 10–12% of total anthropogenic GHG emissions and have a key role to play in achieving a 1.5 °C (above pre-industrial) climate…
The scenario study ‘The Future of the North Sea’ explores the spatial and ecological impact of possible developments on the North Sea, up to 2050, with regard to nature, energy transition and food…
Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy
Food insecurity can be directly exacerbated by climate change due to crop-production-related impacts of warmer and drier conditions that are expected in important agricultural regions. However…
Comparing impacts of climate change and mitigation on global agriculture by 2050
Systematic model inter-comparison helps to narrow discrepancies in the analysis of the future impact of climate change on agricultural production. This paper presents a set of alternative scenarios by…
Reducing global GHG emissions by replicating successful sector examples: the ‘good practice policies’ scenario
This article shows the potential impact on global greenhous gas (GHG) emissions in 2030, if all countries were to implement sectoral climate policies similar to successful examples already implemented…
Impact of LULCC on the emission of BVOCs during the 21st century
Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) is one of the key drivers of anthropogenic climate change. In addition to greenhouse gases such as CO 2 or CH 4, LULCC affects also the emission of other carbon…
The occurrence of many species in the EU is expected to further decline, making it difficult to reach the 2050 policy vision. This study elaborates four ‘perspectives’ on the future of nature in the…
7 politieke partijen hebben hun programma’s voor de Tweede Kamerverkiezingen in maart 2017 in geconcretiseerde maatregelenpakketten voorgelegd aan het PBL. Het PBL heeft deze maatregelen geanalyseerd…