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Scientific Opinion on the science behind the guidance for scenario selection and scenario parameterisation for predicting environmental concentrations of plant protection products in soil

The EFSA Panel on Plant Protection Products and its Residues (PPR Panel) developed a revised methodology for the assessment of exposure of soil organisms to pesticides. In contrast to previous…

Model projections for household energy use in India

Energy use in developing countries is heterogeneous across households. Present day global energy models are mostly too aggregate to account for this heterogeneity. Here, a bottom-up model for…

Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post-2012 international climate financing proposals

This study assesses four proposals to generate funds for international climate financing in developing countries according to three criteria: adequacy, predictability and equitability. The focus year…
Article

Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century

There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…

A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter?

Integrated assessment models have been widely used to inform policymakers about attractive climate response strategies. An important application of integrated assessment models is cost-benefit…

Research priorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth system and integrated assessment modelling

This special issue has highlighted recent and innovative methods and results that integrate observations and modelling analyses of regional to global aspect of biophysical and biogeochemical…

Bio-Energy Use and Low Stabilization Scenarios

Research has shown that extensive use of bio-energy could be a crucial factor in achieving stabilization at low atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration levels. First, bio-energy may play a key role…

A global model for residential energy use: Uncertainty in calibration to regional data

Uncertainties in energy demand modelling allow for the development of different models, but also leave room for different calibrations of a single model. We apply an automated model calibration…

Human alteration of the global nitrogen and phosphorus soil balances for the period 1970–2050

The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MEA) scenarios allow for describing contrasting future developments in agricultural nutrient use under changing climate for the next five decades. Massive…

N2O and NO emission from agricultural fields and soils under natural vegetation

In this paper we present the latest analysis of N 2 O and NO emission measurement data for agricultural soils which has been used in the update of the IPCC Guidelines for National Emission Inventories…