Exploring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global emission projections
This study published by PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and the NewClimate Institute assesses the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated recovery measures on emissions…
Early retirement of power plants in climate mitigation scenarios
International efforts to avoid dangerous climate change aim for large and rapid reductions of fossil fuel CO 2 emissions worldwide, including nearly complete decarbonization of the electric power…
Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study
Bioenergy is expected to play an important role in long-run climate change mitigation strategies as highlighted by many integrated assessment model (IAM) scenarios. These scenarios, however, also show…
Comparing transformation pathways across major economies
This paper explores the consequences of different policy assumptions and the derivation of globally consistent, national low-carbon development pathways for the seven largest greenhouse gas (GHG)…
The climate change mitigation potential of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage
Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) can act as a negative emission technology and is considered crucial in many climate change mitigation pathways that limit global warming to 1.5-2°C…
Integrated Climate-Change Assessment Scenarios and Carbon Dioxide Removal
To halt climate change this century, we must reduce carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from human activities to net zero. Any emission sources, such as in the energy or land-use sectors, must be…
EMF-33 insights on bioenergy with carbon capture and storage
This paper explores the potential role of bioenergy coupled to carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture and storage (BECCS) in long-term global scenarios. We first validate past insights regarding the potential…
The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified anthropogenic…
Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?
Historical increases in agricultural production were achieved predominantly by large increases in agricultural productivity. Intensification of crop and livestock production also plays a key role in…