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Forks in the Road - Alternative routes for international climate policies

Several scenarios are possible for future international climate policies, each with a different role in the climate negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC…

Climate policy after Kyoto – Analytical insights into key issues in the climate negotiations

Limiting global warming to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels is the objective agreed on in international climate negotiations. Due to upward revisions of greenhouse gas emission projections in emerging…

Modelling global livestock diversity - A fuzzy cognitive mapping approach

For modelling global trends in agrobiodiversity better insight in the relationship between drivers (and related pressures) and agrobiodiversity is needed. In a previous study of the authors a number…
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Emission pathways consistent with a 2 degree Celsius global temperature limit

As part of the current climate negotiations, it has been agreed that countries should aim to keep the rise of global mean temperature to a maximum of two degree Celsius, compared to pre-industrial…

Trends report 'The energetic society. In search of a governance philosophy for a clean economy'

The existing powers of creativity and innovation within society offer opportunities for ‘green growth’. Mobilising this energetic society demands adjustment of the way national government thinks and…
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Model projections for household energy use in India

Energy use in developing countries is heterogeneous across households. Present day global energy models are mostly too aggregate to account for this heterogeneity. Here, a bottom-up model for…

Future hotspots of terrestrial mammal loss

Current levels of endangerment and historical trends of species and habitats are the main criteria used to direct conservation efforts globally. Estimates of future declines, which might indicate…
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Special issue of Climatic Change journal on the RCP released

A new Special issue of the journal Climatic Change describes four new key scenarios for the climate research community: the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs). The RCPs describe a wide range…

Exploring global irrigation patterns: A multilevel modelling approach

Globally, areas that are equipped for irrigation have almost doubled in size over the past 50 years and further expansions are expected for the future, to meet a growing food demand. For developing…
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Long-term trend in global CO2 emissions; 2011 report

After a 1 % decline in 2009, global carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions increased by more than 5 % in 2010, which is unprecedented in the last two decades. The industrialised countries that ratified the…